Back for a third week, the guys at Boston Game Time had the GURU on the air Friday night to discuss the upcoming action in college football. This week, we talked about:
Iron Bowl Recap
Ingram's FAIL and the INGY Song
Heisman Balloting
Texas vs. Texas A&M
The GURUs failed prognostications
Nebraska's chances at beating Texas
Who wins: Texas or whichever SEC team faces them
What if Texas loses: Do they still play in the title game?
Boise State vs. Nevada on the Blue Rug
BCS vs. Playoff Debate is SET for Two Weeks from now!
Check out the GURU'S segment here
Listen to the whole show here - Or you can just click the link of the side of the page!
Check out all of the Game Time podcasts here
And don't forget to listen live every week, Friday Night at www.wmfo.org LIVE Midnight - 2AM Eastern (11pm-1am Central)
It looks like The GURU will be a weekly segment at least for the rest of the college football season. Check it out every week.
Monday, November 30, 2009
Sunday, November 29, 2009
Conference Title Game Predictions
The last week of the regular season is all about conference championship games. For the major conferences, we have three that play real Division vs. Division title games. But this year, of the three remaining major conferences, two of them play de-facto Championship games this weekend as well. Will look at those here as well. Here is some analysis and predictions in the order of how much I care about the games:
1. MAC: Central Michigan vs. Ohio Friday December 4th Detroit, MI @ Ford Field 7:00 PM CST ESPN2
Central Michigan (10-2) is led by senior quarterback Dan LeFevour. LeFevour is a four year starter with some fantastic career numbers. The "Poor Man's Tim Tebow" as he is called has almost 2800 yards with 25 touchdown passes. On the ground, he has 650 yards and 14 touchdowns.
Ohio (9-3) have been one of the surprise teams of the season. The Bobcats are led by coach Frank Solich - former Nebraska player and coach. To be honest, I don't know much of anything about either of these teams. But I will go with the senior leader at quarterback and pick the Chippewas (-10.5) 37-24
2. Conference USA: #21 Houston vs. East Carolina Saturday December 5th 11:00 A.M.
East Carolina (8-4) have just one conference loss this season - to bowl eligible SMU. All other three losses have been to major conference opponents. Senior quarterback Patrick Pinkney is having a descent season with almost 2500 yards and 13 touchdown passes. However, Pinkney has thrown 10 picks as well.
Houston (10-2) has had quite the season. Highlighted by a week 2 win over then #5 Oklahoma State. For many thought that this Houston Cougar team would be this year's BCS buster until a surprising loss to UTEP ended hopes of that. The Cougars lost agian to UCF later in the season but are coming in red hot after a wins of 55-14 over Memphis and 73-14 over Rice to end the season. Junior quarterback Case Keenum is having a great season with nearly 5,000 pass yards and 38 touchdown passes. Keenum is thought to be a darkhorse heisman contender and had the team been undefeated would at least be getting an invite to New York for the presentation. I see Houston (-1) running away with this game 45-17.
3. Pac-10: #16 Oregon State @ #7 Oregon Thursday December 3rd 8:00 PM ESPN
And as usual the Pac-10 Champion is USC...........wait. That's right, for the first time since 2001, the Pac-10 will not be won by USC. And while there is no official Pac-10 title game, this year's Civil War game will decide the conference championship. Oregon has not played in the Rose Bowl since the 1994 season, and Oregon State since the 1964 season. Oregon State (8-3) might be the quietest team this season. Nationally, we haven't heard much from the Beavers since they beat USC on a Thursday night last season. The Beavs are led by the Rodgers brothers: Jacquizz and James. Jacquizz leads the team in rushing, and James leads in receiving. Ironically, James is 2nd in rushing, and Jacquizz is 2nd in receiving. The Quizz has over 1300 yards on the ground with 19 touchdowns and would be the conference's best running back were it not for Stanford's Toby Gerhart.
Oregon (9-2) has been quite the up and down team all season. Oregon opened the season on the road at Boise State, and we all should remember how that turned out:
But after that game, Oregon ripped off 7 straight wins including a 47-20 domination of USC. But a loss to Stanford pretty much knocked Oregon out of the national title picture and outside the national spotlight. With the loss of LaGarrette Blount to suspension, the Oregon running game was thought to be in the tank, but the emergence of LaMichael James (1300 yards 11 TD) and that of quarterback Jeremiah Masoli (1800 pass yards 14 TDs and 619 rush yards 12 TDs) has brought Oregon back to the top of the Pac-10. This game is one of those Thursday night ESPN games that produces a lot of upsets with teams coming off of short weeks and such, but Oregon (-9.5) should be good enough to overcome that. I see the Duck taking this game 31-20.
4. Big East: #5 Cincinnati @ #15 Pittsburgh Saturday December 5th 11:00 AM ABC
This game has lost of a little bit of his luster given Pitt's loss in the Backyard Brawl to West Virginia, but the stakes are still the same. The winner still wins the Big East and gets the automatic berth in the BCS. Pitt (9-2) is led by their freshman sensation running back Dion Lewis. Lewis has nearly 1500 yards on the ground with 13 touchdowns. Quarterback Bill Stull pretty much just has to not screw up with Lewis in the backfield. Stull has thrown for 2300 yards and 19 touchdowns
Cincinnati (12-0) still has an outside shot at getting into the national title game with a win. It would take a Texas loss and some major changes in voting between TCU and Cinci, but it is still possible. But the only way voters would be willing to consider would be if Cinci can dominate Pitt. They do have one of the best receivers in the nation in Marty Gilyard who has 75 catches for 1032 yard and 10 touchdowns. Tony Pike at quarterback was a heisman candidate until he got injured early in the season, but Zach Collaros held down the fort just fine in his absence. Near as I can tell online, this game doesn't have a line right now. I would have thought Cinci would be opening as at least 4 point favorites, but even still, I like Pitt to throw the upset in this one in a very close game 24-23.
5. ACC Championship Game: #10 Georgia Tech vs. Clemson Saturday December 5th Jacksonville, FL 7:00 PM ESPN
Wow, what a bad weekend for both of these teams. Perhaps both were looking ahead a little early towards the title game? The cream of the ACC crop each lose to a middle of the pack to bottom 1/3 SEC team over the weekend in each team's major in state rivalry game. Neither team was really affected by the loss however as both had already clinched their berth in this game, and neither had a chance for a national title. Georgia Tech had an extreme outside shot at it, but it wasn't very likely anyways. Georgia Tech (10-2) comes in with one of the more interesting offenses in college football. Many people said that Paul Johnson's flexbone offense wouldn't work in a major conference, and clearly they have been wrong. Josh Nesbitt is a threat to throw out of the bone, and thus it works very very well. Johnathan Dwyer and Armando Allen provide the rest of the ground attack going along with Nesbitt. Clearly, Tech will be looking for revenge.
Clemson (8-4) has had a mostly disappointing season to this point. After losing 3 of their first 5 games, the Tigers rolled off 6 straight wins before the South Carolina game last weekend including a 40-37 overtime thriller against Miami. C.J. Spiller is the unquestioned leader for Clemson. Last weekend Spiller set the NCAA record with 7 career kick return touchdowns. Spiller has just 900 yards rushing on the season, but he is a threat wherever he is on the field. Jacoby Ford leads the team in receiving and has legit 4.3, possibly even 4.2 speed at his best. These teams did play early in the season at Georgia Tech on a Thursday night with Tech taking that game 30-27. Tech jumped out to an early dominating lead and nearly gave it up late. I see this game coming down to the wire with Clemson (+1) scoring a late touchdown to win the game 30-27.
6. Big 12 Championship Game: #3 Texas vs. Nebraska Saturday December 5th St. Louis, MO 7:00 ABC
On paper, this game should be an easy selection. One team is highly ranked on rout to a possible National Championship game berth. The other, is, well, not. But where have we seen this before.....
Nebraska (9-3) comes in with a mediocre offense but with the stellar defense. Are the Blackshirts Back? Well, no, not quite, but they are getting there. DT Ndamukong Suh is even considered to be a very very darkhorse Heisman candidate - and that says something. No true defender has ever won the award (Charles Woodson in 1997 got his stats by punt and kick returns mostly) and to have a defensive tackle on the list is amazing. He won't win it and won't even get an invite to New York, but he will make some ballots. On offense, the Cornhuskers are led by junior Zac Lee. This is Lee's first season as the starter, and he has done quite well with almost 2000 yards and 14 touchdowns.
The Longhorns are led of course by Colt McCoy. McCoy is probably the Heisman leader at this point. Although it is probably more of a career achievement and not so much a season award as McCoy has just over 3300 yards with 27 touchdowns which are great numbers, but not the best in the nation. Tre Newton leads the team on the ground, but McCoy is still a threat to run with over 100 carries on the season. I see Texas (-14) should be able to cover this spread, but I'm not amazingly confident in my pick. Texas does not play good defense, but luckily for them, Nebraska's offense isn't very good. I like Texas 37-14.
7. SEC Championship Game: #1 Florida vs. #2 Alabama Saturday December 5th Atlanta, GA 3:00 CBS
Do you really think I am going to spoil my end of the week prediction post here? Forget about it! You'll have to come back.
Here is my prediction: It is going to be a good game with the winner playing for the National Title and the loser playing in the Sugar Bowl.
1. MAC: Central Michigan vs. Ohio Friday December 4th Detroit, MI @ Ford Field 7:00 PM CST ESPN2
Central Michigan (10-2) is led by senior quarterback Dan LeFevour. LeFevour is a four year starter with some fantastic career numbers. The "Poor Man's Tim Tebow" as he is called has almost 2800 yards with 25 touchdown passes. On the ground, he has 650 yards and 14 touchdowns.
Ohio (9-3) have been one of the surprise teams of the season. The Bobcats are led by coach Frank Solich - former Nebraska player and coach. To be honest, I don't know much of anything about either of these teams. But I will go with the senior leader at quarterback and pick the Chippewas (-10.5) 37-24
2. Conference USA: #21 Houston vs. East Carolina Saturday December 5th 11:00 A.M.
East Carolina (8-4) have just one conference loss this season - to bowl eligible SMU. All other three losses have been to major conference opponents. Senior quarterback Patrick Pinkney is having a descent season with almost 2500 yards and 13 touchdown passes. However, Pinkney has thrown 10 picks as well.
Houston (10-2) has had quite the season. Highlighted by a week 2 win over then #5 Oklahoma State. For many thought that this Houston Cougar team would be this year's BCS buster until a surprising loss to UTEP ended hopes of that. The Cougars lost agian to UCF later in the season but are coming in red hot after a wins of 55-14 over Memphis and 73-14 over Rice to end the season. Junior quarterback Case Keenum is having a great season with nearly 5,000 pass yards and 38 touchdown passes. Keenum is thought to be a darkhorse heisman contender and had the team been undefeated would at least be getting an invite to New York for the presentation. I see Houston (-1) running away with this game 45-17.
3. Pac-10: #16 Oregon State @ #7 Oregon Thursday December 3rd 8:00 PM ESPN
And as usual the Pac-10 Champion is USC...........wait. That's right, for the first time since 2001, the Pac-10 will not be won by USC. And while there is no official Pac-10 title game, this year's Civil War game will decide the conference championship. Oregon has not played in the Rose Bowl since the 1994 season, and Oregon State since the 1964 season. Oregon State (8-3) might be the quietest team this season. Nationally, we haven't heard much from the Beavers since they beat USC on a Thursday night last season. The Beavs are led by the Rodgers brothers: Jacquizz and James. Jacquizz leads the team in rushing, and James leads in receiving. Ironically, James is 2nd in rushing, and Jacquizz is 2nd in receiving. The Quizz has over 1300 yards on the ground with 19 touchdowns and would be the conference's best running back were it not for Stanford's Toby Gerhart.
Oregon (9-2) has been quite the up and down team all season. Oregon opened the season on the road at Boise State, and we all should remember how that turned out:
But after that game, Oregon ripped off 7 straight wins including a 47-20 domination of USC. But a loss to Stanford pretty much knocked Oregon out of the national title picture and outside the national spotlight. With the loss of LaGarrette Blount to suspension, the Oregon running game was thought to be in the tank, but the emergence of LaMichael James (1300 yards 11 TD) and that of quarterback Jeremiah Masoli (1800 pass yards 14 TDs and 619 rush yards 12 TDs) has brought Oregon back to the top of the Pac-10. This game is one of those Thursday night ESPN games that produces a lot of upsets with teams coming off of short weeks and such, but Oregon (-9.5) should be good enough to overcome that. I see the Duck taking this game 31-20.
4. Big East: #5 Cincinnati @ #15 Pittsburgh Saturday December 5th 11:00 AM ABC
This game has lost of a little bit of his luster given Pitt's loss in the Backyard Brawl to West Virginia, but the stakes are still the same. The winner still wins the Big East and gets the automatic berth in the BCS. Pitt (9-2) is led by their freshman sensation running back Dion Lewis. Lewis has nearly 1500 yards on the ground with 13 touchdowns. Quarterback Bill Stull pretty much just has to not screw up with Lewis in the backfield. Stull has thrown for 2300 yards and 19 touchdowns
Cincinnati (12-0) still has an outside shot at getting into the national title game with a win. It would take a Texas loss and some major changes in voting between TCU and Cinci, but it is still possible. But the only way voters would be willing to consider would be if Cinci can dominate Pitt. They do have one of the best receivers in the nation in Marty Gilyard who has 75 catches for 1032 yard and 10 touchdowns. Tony Pike at quarterback was a heisman candidate until he got injured early in the season, but Zach Collaros held down the fort just fine in his absence. Near as I can tell online, this game doesn't have a line right now. I would have thought Cinci would be opening as at least 4 point favorites, but even still, I like Pitt to throw the upset in this one in a very close game 24-23.
5. ACC Championship Game: #10 Georgia Tech vs. Clemson Saturday December 5th Jacksonville, FL 7:00 PM ESPN
Wow, what a bad weekend for both of these teams. Perhaps both were looking ahead a little early towards the title game? The cream of the ACC crop each lose to a middle of the pack to bottom 1/3 SEC team over the weekend in each team's major in state rivalry game. Neither team was really affected by the loss however as both had already clinched their berth in this game, and neither had a chance for a national title. Georgia Tech had an extreme outside shot at it, but it wasn't very likely anyways. Georgia Tech (10-2) comes in with one of the more interesting offenses in college football. Many people said that Paul Johnson's flexbone offense wouldn't work in a major conference, and clearly they have been wrong. Josh Nesbitt is a threat to throw out of the bone, and thus it works very very well. Johnathan Dwyer and Armando Allen provide the rest of the ground attack going along with Nesbitt. Clearly, Tech will be looking for revenge.
Clemson (8-4) has had a mostly disappointing season to this point. After losing 3 of their first 5 games, the Tigers rolled off 6 straight wins before the South Carolina game last weekend including a 40-37 overtime thriller against Miami. C.J. Spiller is the unquestioned leader for Clemson. Last weekend Spiller set the NCAA record with 7 career kick return touchdowns. Spiller has just 900 yards rushing on the season, but he is a threat wherever he is on the field. Jacoby Ford leads the team in receiving and has legit 4.3, possibly even 4.2 speed at his best. These teams did play early in the season at Georgia Tech on a Thursday night with Tech taking that game 30-27. Tech jumped out to an early dominating lead and nearly gave it up late. I see this game coming down to the wire with Clemson (+1) scoring a late touchdown to win the game 30-27.
6. Big 12 Championship Game: #3 Texas vs. Nebraska Saturday December 5th St. Louis, MO 7:00 ABC
On paper, this game should be an easy selection. One team is highly ranked on rout to a possible National Championship game berth. The other, is, well, not. But where have we seen this before.....
Nebraska (9-3) comes in with a mediocre offense but with the stellar defense. Are the Blackshirts Back? Well, no, not quite, but they are getting there. DT Ndamukong Suh is even considered to be a very very darkhorse Heisman candidate - and that says something. No true defender has ever won the award (Charles Woodson in 1997 got his stats by punt and kick returns mostly) and to have a defensive tackle on the list is amazing. He won't win it and won't even get an invite to New York, but he will make some ballots. On offense, the Cornhuskers are led by junior Zac Lee. This is Lee's first season as the starter, and he has done quite well with almost 2000 yards and 14 touchdowns.
The Longhorns are led of course by Colt McCoy. McCoy is probably the Heisman leader at this point. Although it is probably more of a career achievement and not so much a season award as McCoy has just over 3300 yards with 27 touchdowns which are great numbers, but not the best in the nation. Tre Newton leads the team on the ground, but McCoy is still a threat to run with over 100 carries on the season. I see Texas (-14) should be able to cover this spread, but I'm not amazingly confident in my pick. Texas does not play good defense, but luckily for them, Nebraska's offense isn't very good. I like Texas 37-14.
7. SEC Championship Game: #1 Florida vs. #2 Alabama Saturday December 5th Atlanta, GA 3:00 CBS
Do you really think I am going to spoil my end of the week prediction post here? Forget about it! You'll have to come back.
Here is my prediction: It is going to be a good game with the winner playing for the National Title and the loser playing in the Sugar Bowl.
Tags:
Chippewas,
Clemson,
College Football,
Cougars,
Crimson Tide,
Ducks,
Gators,
Horns,
Panthers
Saturday, November 28, 2009
SEC Championship: Alabama vs. Florida: The Way it Should Be
Now that the Iron Bowl and the Florida/Florida State games are out of the way, its time to talk about the game EVERYONE is talking about. The SEC Championship game.
If you are a fan of the BCS, you love this game. You will get a guaranteed undefeated team in your national title game and are saved at least some controversy.
If you are a fan of a playoff: you love this game. This game IS a playoff. It is functionally a nationally semi-final matchup.
The History:
Last season was another national semi-final with Alabama undefeated and #1 vs. one-loss and #2 Florida. Alabama actually lead the game going into the 4th quarter 20-17, but a great gutty performance by Tim Tebow leading the Gators to two 4th quarter touchdowns was the difference in the ballgame.
I love this matchup. This is what major college football is about. A clash of the titans for the right to play for it all. Check back later this week for analysis and prediction on the game.
Earlier I thought Alabama might open up as 3 point favorites in this one, but after that Iron Bowl there are some weaknesses. And after the demolition of Florida State I witnessed today, Florida is looking pretty unstoppable. I think Florida will open up as favorites. We shall see though.
So here we are. One week until the big game. Who are you picking? Leave a comment with your title game predictions and thoughts.
Check back later this week for analysis and predictions on the game.
If you are a fan of the BCS, you love this game. You will get a guaranteed undefeated team in your national title game and are saved at least some controversy.
If you are a fan of a playoff: you love this game. This game IS a playoff. It is functionally a nationally semi-final matchup.
The History:
Since the SEC Championship game was introduced in 1992, Alabama has faced Florida 6 times with Florida coming out on top in four of them. This was the matchup in the first three games, four out of five, and five out of the first 8. But after 1999, it took 9 years for the teams to renew hostilities in Atlanta. Alabama won the first game 28-21 en-route to the 1992 national championship. Florida took the next three including a 24-23 thriller in 1994 that knocked Alabama out of a perfect season.
The 1999 game was one of the greatest in Alabama history though. The teams played in the regular season with Alabama winning 40-39 in overtime. Everyone thought that was a fluke and Florida would dominate the title game --- they did not. Alabama won 34-7 and ended up in the Orange Bowl vs. Michigan against some mediocre quarterback named Tom Brady - I know, I haven't heard of him either.
Last season was another national semi-final with Alabama undefeated and #1 vs. one-loss and #2 Florida. Alabama actually lead the game going into the 4th quarter 20-17, but a great gutty performance by Tim Tebow leading the Gators to two 4th quarter touchdowns was the difference in the ballgame.
I love this matchup. This is what major college football is about. A clash of the titans for the right to play for it all. Check back later this week for analysis and prediction on the game.
Earlier I thought Alabama might open up as 3 point favorites in this one, but after that Iron Bowl there are some weaknesses. And after the demolition of Florida State I witnessed today, Florida is looking pretty unstoppable. I think Florida will open up as favorites. We shall see though.
So here we are. One week until the big game. Who are you picking? Leave a comment with your title game predictions and thoughts.
Check back later this week for analysis and predictions on the game.
Friday, November 27, 2009
Iron Bowl Wrap Up
Wow, what a great game! I've had a couple of hours to digest the results, a couple of hours to restart my heart after the multiple heart attacks I had, and a couple of hours to begin my preparations for the SEC Title Game!
Raise your hand if you thought Auburn might jump out to an early two touchdown lead the way they did?
*crickets*
Yea, that's what I thought. It was a nail-biter up until the very end.
Great job by the Alabama offense today, one of the better performances when it was needed this season. Especially when Heisman contender Mark Ingram was ineffective at best, and just downright awful at worst.
Ingram: The best running back in the nation. Today, third best on the team behind Trent Richardson and Roy Upchurch. Richardson shows the nation that he will be a force to be reckoned with in the future. As for Upchurch, what a moment for him to cap off his Alabama career (at least regular season) scoring the winning touchdown late in the game.
In my opinion, best Iron Bowl since 1996 - another late win for Alabama. 2004 was good too but Auburn really pulled away in the second half of that ballgame.
Team Stat Comparison | ||||||||
1st Downs | 17 | 15 | ||||||
Total Yards | 291 | 332 | ||||||
Passing | 218 | 181 | ||||||
Rushing | 73 | 151 | ||||||
Penalties | 4-26 | 8-68 | ||||||
3rd Down Conversions | 5-14 | 4-12 | ||||||
4th Down Conversions | 0-1 | 0-0 | ||||||
Turnovers | 0 | 2 | ||||||
Possession | 33:47 | 26:13 |
Neither team hit their season average in yardage. For Auburn, I expected that. For Alabama, I expected a MUCH better running game than we got this afternoon. Alabama gave up more than 100 yards over their average, and gave up 11 more points than their average of just under 10.
Bottom line: A win is a win. If you take out that one big 67 yard touchdown on the reverse run by Zachery, and and numbers begin to normalize a little bit more. I have not seen a Bama defense give up big plays like this at all this season, and I don't like it. This game was a formula for an upset, but Alabama overcame that:
1. On the road
2. Rivalry
3. Opponent coming off a bye
4. Opponent with nothing to lose
5. SI Cover Jinx (though it may have jinxed Ingram)
There is a reason Vegas sets the odds and I do not. I would have bet the house, the farm, the car, and whatever else that Alabama would cover the spread this afternoon - and they did not.
I fear that maybe, MAYBE Ingram was starting to believe the hype. He has been getting it from the media for weeks, he was on the Sports Illustrated cover this week, his boys back in Michigan created a song for his Heisman campaign, and back in Flint Michigan, today was Mark Ingram Day. If he was gonna have a bad game, I would rather it had been today than next week against Florida.
On a more positive note, how about the play of Greg McElroy today! Oft criticized as the offensive weak link, McElroy showed me just how valuable a leader he is tonight. 21/31 218 yards and 2 touchdowns. Efficient and quality stats. But to me, it is THE DRIVE that sets his day apart.
Alabama gets the ball down by one with 8:27 on the clock and 80 yards to go. McElroy started the drive with an incompletion, but after that first play he went 7-for-7 for 63 yards and the critical 3rd down touchdown pass to Roy Upchurch.McElroy has not lost a game as a starting quarterback since Middle School - AT LEAST!!! - I wasn't able to find his middle school stats.
Before today, people were comparing you to John Parker Wilson. After today, calls of Jay Barker should begin to ring.
So bottom line: it is a win. Alabama will play in Atlanta, and they will play in a BCS game regardless of the outcome of the title game. Will it be in Pasadena or in New Orleans is all that remains to be seen on that. Ingram's injury does not appear to be serious, so he should be back. His Heisman campaign took a serious hit today, but voters should not cast those ballots until they see what happens next Saturday night in the Georgia Dome.
Roll Tide!
Tags:
Barners,
College Football,
Crimson Tide,
Iron Bowl
Thursday, November 26, 2009
Auburn Hate Week! Friday - GAME DAY Prediction
It's here! The IRON BOWL is TODAY!
Before we get into the game, here is some pregame audio you need to listen to to get PUMPED for this game! On paper, it might look like a blow out. Not to mention if you just listen to talk radio or watch ESPN at all. But lets take a look a little bit deeper.
The Offenses:
Statistically, both offenses have been very similar during the season, but Auburn's has been more potent:
Advantage: Auburn
Auburn runs a spread offense led by Gus Malzahn, the former coach at Springdale High School in Arkansas, and at the University of Tulsa. The jury is still out as to whether or not this offense will be more of a fad or a mainstay in college football. Even with this spread style, Auburn loves to run the ball, but does throw it around some. They still live on the ground though with Ben Tate and Ontario McCalebb.
Alabama runs a more traditional pro style offense, but there are a lot of Wildcat and Pistol formations thrown in. Alabama's bread and butter is on the ground with two great backs in Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson. Lets take a look at the running games of each school:
These two running games on paper are surprisingly similar. Both have a more experienced lead back (Ingram, Tate) with a Freshman change of pace back getting a lot of fan attention (Richardson, McCalebb). I give Alabama the advantage here, but it is closer than a lot of people think. The possible X-Factor here is Kodi Burns. Burns was thought to be the savior at quarterback, but that hasn't really panned out. However, he has found a nice niche as a Wildcat style replacement quarterback gaining 154 yards with 4 touchdowns. Although, much of that came early in the season. Since then, Burns has moved over to receiver.
It is important to note on offense however, that even though Auburn dominates the statistical categories accross the board, in the team's six common opponents (MSU, UT, Arkansas, UK, LSU, and Ole Miss) Alabama out-gained Auburn against that same opponent three times.
Defense:
Up to now, this game looks like it might be pretty even. But here is where Alabama will begin to separate itself:
Advantage: Alabama (Duh!)
Wow, those stats are even more amazing than I thought before I compiled them. Alabama is in the top 5 in all major defensive statistical categories, and Auburn doesn't crack the top 25 in any of them. Alabama is 10th in the nation in rushing, and Auburn is 88th at giving it up --- wow. Alabama has not given up a 100 yard rusher in 33 games. "The Law Firm" of Ben-Jarvis Green-Ellis for Ole Miss in 2007 was the last back to accomplish the feat against Alabama.
Here is a look at the Alabama projected starting defense:
Wow, that is a STOUT defense! There is a reason this is one of the best units, probably the best unit, in the nation. If Alabama can complete the undefeated season, this may go down as one of the best defenses in NCAA history. But there are still three games to go before we can talk about anything like that. Only one problem here: LOOK AT ALL THE SENIORS on the list. 7 Seniors, and 2 Juniors that have the ability to leave early - if not both Jackson and McClain, at least McClain can leave early and will be a top 15 draft pick, possible top 5. In that starting 11, I see at least 8 players that can make impacts on NFL rosters soon. Really, I don't see anyone that couldn't, but there probably isn't a starting 11 anywhere that had EVERYONE play in the NFL, not even those great USC teams in the 2000's. But that isn't a problem for the rest of this season, that is only a problem for next year. At this point though, Alabama doesn't really need to "rebuild" after a good season, they simply just "reload".
Special Teams:
So special teams may not be worth any fancy table like the other stats, but it is still worth noting. Leigh Tiffin leads Alabama in scoring (and is now the school's all-time leader in points as well) with 109 going 25-28 on field goal attempts on the season. He has not missed since he missed 2 kicks vs. South Carolina 5 games ago. And while on special teams, we have to talk about Javier Arenas. He holds the SEC record for most kick return touchdowns, and is only 100 yards away from becoming the SEC all time kick return yardage leader. For Auburn Wes Byrum is perfect on extra points on the season and only has one field goal miss. Byrum has been statistically great his whole career, while Tiffin has been often criticized until this season. On kick returns - I have no idea who Auburn uses, and I really don't care - he won't be better than Arenas.
Advantage: Alabama
Prediction:
Classic SEC slug-fest on the ground all afternoon. The Alabama defense vs. the Auburn offense will be the match-up to watch, and if you MUST turn away from the TV, do it during the Alabama offense vs. Auburn defense portion of the game. According to Vegas, Alabama is a 10 or 10.5 point favorite. According to bodog, that line started out with Alabama a 12.5 point favorite, and it has gone DOWN since. Last week on Gametime, I predicted a three touchdown advantage for Alabama - or at least 17 points. This number looks to be a sucker bet to me. I know, I know, "It's a rivalry game, you never know." "It's on the road, and Auburn always plays well at home." "A win here makes Auburn's season, they can play loose and takes more risks." "Those Auburn kids are out to PROVE they deserved Alabama scholarship offers." "Our defense has caught some bad breaks, we are better than we have looked." "Don't forget about the SI cover Jinx! "Remember 20 years ago when Bama was #2 and lost on the Plains?" I've heard it all, I just don't buy any of it.
Auburn may well take an early lead in this game, that would not surprise me. It will be one of the best offenses Alabama has faced all season. But it will not last. I like Alabama to take control of the game early on the strength of Mark Ingram's legs and never look back. Ingram will be good for 130 and 2 touchdowns. McElroy will hit the 200 yard mark with one touchdown, and Tiffin will hit 2-3 field goals. I think Auburn gets an early 3-0 lead and scores a late touchdown to bring the game closer than it needs to be, but in the end Alabama will be way too strong for the Tigers this afternoon.
Alabama will roll on to Atlanta undefeated for a Clash of the Titans 8 days from now!
Alabama 27 Auburn 10.
Before we get into the game, here is some pregame audio you need to listen to to get PUMPED for this game! On paper, it might look like a blow out. Not to mention if you just listen to talk radio or watch ESPN at all. But lets take a look a little bit deeper.
The Offenses:
Statistically, both offenses have been very similar during the season, but Auburn's has been more potent:
Stat | Alabama | Ncaa Rank | Auburn | Ncaa Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|
Total Yards | 418 | 30th | 441.5 | 16th |
Passing Yards | 198 | 96th | 234.7 | 54th |
ushing Yards | 225.6 | 10th | 219.5 | 11th |
Points Scored | 32.2 | 24th | 34 | 15th |
Advantage: Auburn
Auburn runs a spread offense led by Gus Malzahn, the former coach at Springdale High School in Arkansas, and at the University of Tulsa. The jury is still out as to whether or not this offense will be more of a fad or a mainstay in college football. Even with this spread style, Auburn loves to run the ball, but does throw it around some. They still live on the ground though with Ben Tate and Ontario McCalebb.
Alabama runs a more traditional pro style offense, but there are a lot of Wildcat and Pistol formations thrown in. Alabama's bread and butter is on the ground with two great backs in Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson. Lets take a look at the running games of each school:
Player | Carries | Yards | Average | TD |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mark Ingram | 205 | 1399 | 6.8 | 12 |
Trent Richardson | 100 | 511 | 5.1 | 5 |
Ben Tate | 225 | 1209 | 5.4 | 8 |
Onterio McCalebb | 94 | 524 | 5.6 | 4 |
These two running games on paper are surprisingly similar. Both have a more experienced lead back (Ingram, Tate) with a Freshman change of pace back getting a lot of fan attention (Richardson, McCalebb). I give Alabama the advantage here, but it is closer than a lot of people think. The possible X-Factor here is Kodi Burns. Burns was thought to be the savior at quarterback, but that hasn't really panned out. However, he has found a nice niche as a Wildcat style replacement quarterback gaining 154 yards with 4 touchdowns. Although, much of that came early in the season. Since then, Burns has moved over to receiver.
It is important to note on offense however, that even though Auburn dominates the statistical categories accross the board, in the team's six common opponents (MSU, UT, Arkansas, UK, LSU, and Ole Miss) Alabama out-gained Auburn against that same opponent three times.
Defense:
Up to now, this game looks like it might be pretty even. But here is where Alabama will begin to separate itself:
Stat | Alabama | Ncaa Rank | Auburn | Ncaa Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 9.9 | 2nd | 27 | 78th |
Yards Per Game | 225.2 | 1st | 359.2 | 56th |
Pass Yards Per Game | 154.64 | 5th | 189.45 | 28th |
Rush Yards Per Game | 70.54 | 2nd | 169.72 | 88th |
Advantage: Alabama (Duh!)
Wow, those stats are even more amazing than I thought before I compiled them. Alabama is in the top 5 in all major defensive statistical categories, and Auburn doesn't crack the top 25 in any of them. Alabama is 10th in the nation in rushing, and Auburn is 88th at giving it up --- wow. Alabama has not given up a 100 yard rusher in 33 games. "The Law Firm" of Ben-Jarvis Green-Ellis for Ole Miss in 2007 was the last back to accomplish the feat against Alabama.
Here is a look at the Alabama projected starting defense:
Player | Position | Height | Weight | Class |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lorenzo Washington | DE | 6-5 | 290 | SR |
Brandon Deaderick | DE | 6-4 | 287 | SR |
Terrance Cody | DT/NT | 6-5 | 365 | SR |
Cory Reamer | LB | 6-4 | 234 | SR |
Eryk Anders | LB | 6-2 | 227 | SR |
Rolando McClain | LB | 6-4 | 258 | JR |
Nico Johnson | LB | 6-3 | 225 | FR |
Javier Arenas | CB | 5-9 | 198 | SR |
Kareem Jackson | CB | 5-11 | 192 | JR |
Mark Barron | S | 6-2 | 215 | SO |
Justin Woodall | S | 6-2 | 220 | SR |
Wow, that is a STOUT defense! There is a reason this is one of the best units, probably the best unit, in the nation. If Alabama can complete the undefeated season, this may go down as one of the best defenses in NCAA history. But there are still three games to go before we can talk about anything like that. Only one problem here: LOOK AT ALL THE SENIORS on the list. 7 Seniors, and 2 Juniors that have the ability to leave early - if not both Jackson and McClain, at least McClain can leave early and will be a top 15 draft pick, possible top 5. In that starting 11, I see at least 8 players that can make impacts on NFL rosters soon. Really, I don't see anyone that couldn't, but there probably isn't a starting 11 anywhere that had EVERYONE play in the NFL, not even those great USC teams in the 2000's. But that isn't a problem for the rest of this season, that is only a problem for next year. At this point though, Alabama doesn't really need to "rebuild" after a good season, they simply just "reload".
Special Teams:
So special teams may not be worth any fancy table like the other stats, but it is still worth noting. Leigh Tiffin leads Alabama in scoring (and is now the school's all-time leader in points as well) with 109 going 25-28 on field goal attempts on the season. He has not missed since he missed 2 kicks vs. South Carolina 5 games ago. And while on special teams, we have to talk about Javier Arenas. He holds the SEC record for most kick return touchdowns, and is only 100 yards away from becoming the SEC all time kick return yardage leader. For Auburn Wes Byrum is perfect on extra points on the season and only has one field goal miss. Byrum has been statistically great his whole career, while Tiffin has been often criticized until this season. On kick returns - I have no idea who Auburn uses, and I really don't care - he won't be better than Arenas.
Advantage: Alabama
Prediction:
Classic SEC slug-fest on the ground all afternoon. The Alabama defense vs. the Auburn offense will be the match-up to watch, and if you MUST turn away from the TV, do it during the Alabama offense vs. Auburn defense portion of the game. According to Vegas, Alabama is a 10 or 10.5 point favorite. According to bodog, that line started out with Alabama a 12.5 point favorite, and it has gone DOWN since. Last week on Gametime, I predicted a three touchdown advantage for Alabama - or at least 17 points. This number looks to be a sucker bet to me. I know, I know, "It's a rivalry game, you never know." "It's on the road, and Auburn always plays well at home." "A win here makes Auburn's season, they can play loose and takes more risks." "Those Auburn kids are out to PROVE they deserved Alabama scholarship offers." "Our defense has caught some bad breaks, we are better than we have looked." "Don't forget about the SI cover Jinx! "Remember 20 years ago when Bama was #2 and lost on the Plains?" I've heard it all, I just don't buy any of it.
Auburn may well take an early lead in this game, that would not surprise me. It will be one of the best offenses Alabama has faced all season. But it will not last. I like Alabama to take control of the game early on the strength of Mark Ingram's legs and never look back. Ingram will be good for 130 and 2 touchdowns. McElroy will hit the 200 yard mark with one touchdown, and Tiffin will hit 2-3 field goals. I think Auburn gets an early 3-0 lead and scores a late touchdown to bring the game closer than it needs to be, but in the end Alabama will be way too strong for the Tigers this afternoon.
Alabama will roll on to Atlanta undefeated for a Clash of the Titans 8 days from now!
Alabama 27 Auburn 10.
Tags:
Barners,
College Football,
Crimson Tide,
Iron Bowl
Auburn Hate Week! Thursday - Alums, Co-Eds, Cheerleaders
Happy Thanksgiving everyone! I thought for the holiday I would take a slightly more lighthearted approach to the Iron Bowl and compare the Alumni and the female hotness at both Universities.
And Alabama:
Alumni:
Pretty good Quality for Alabama. Now, Auburn:
dsfsdf For a "Cow College", Auburn has a lot of Technical and Engineering Alums.
Non Athlete Alumni:
- Walter Riggs - Father of Clemson Football
- Alvin Vogtle - Fighter Pilot and Inspiration for Steve McQueen Character
- Hank Harsfield - Shuttle Astronaut - Featured in The Dream is Alive
- Clifton Williams - Gemini and Apollo Astronaut - Killed flying T-38 Aircraft
- Fob James - Alabama Govenor
- Ken Mattingly - Apollo and Shuttle Astronaut - Famous for getting booted from Apollo 13 flight
- James Voss - Shuttle Astronaut
- Kathryn Thornton - Shuttle Astronaut (I add her because I work with her neice)
- Jan Davis - Shuttle Astronaut
- Jimmy Wales - co-founder of Wikipedia
- Taylor Hicks - American Idol (Attended but did not graduate)
- Jimmy Buffet - Singer (Attended but did not graduate)
Pretty good list. Lot of space flight on there. How about Alabama? On their Wikipedia page, their list has to be broken down by category there are so many!
- Winston Groom - Author Forest Gump
- Harper Lee - Author To Kill a Mockingbird
- Kathryn Scott - First female band director in United States
- Bernard Madoff - Ponzi Scheme dude - (I DIDN'T KNOW HE WENT TO BAMA!!)
- Jim Nabors - Actor
- Sela Ward - Acress
- Bob Riley - Governor
- Jess Sessions - Senator
- Richard Shelby - Senator
- Don Sigelman - Governor
- George Wallace - Governor
If you like politics, then Alabama is your place. You pretty much have to be a member of one of the Machine fraternities or sororities to get anywhere, but it is possible. If you like engineering and Space Travel, Auburn may well be your place. I want to give this to Alabama, but given my current "real" job where I teach about Space, I'll have to at least bring this to a push
What About Athletic Alumni?
Auburn:
- Charles Barkley
- Bo Jackson
- Ronnie Brown
- Frank Thomas (baseball)
- Vince Dooley
- Shug Jordan
- Kevin Greene
- Carnell "Cadillac" Williams
- Jason Campbell
- Carlos Rodgers
- Kristy Coventry (Olympic swimming Gold Medalist)
- Brandon Jacobs
- Tim Hudson (baseball)
Not a bad list, Here is Alabama:
- Paul W. "Bear" Bryant
- Joe Namath
- Ken Stabler
- Bart Starr
- Dwight Stephenson
- John Hannah
- Don Hutson
- Ozzie Newsome
- Derrick Thomas
- Cornelius Bennett
- Shaun Alexander
- Chris Samuels
- DeMeco Ryans
- Glen Coffee
- Roman Harper (I HAD A CLASS WITH HIM!)
- Antwan Odom
- Rece Davis (Sportscaster ESPN)
- Mo Williams (Basketball)
- Latrell Sprewell (Basketball)
- Mel Allen (The Voice of the Yankees)
- Terin Humphrey (Olympic Silver Medalist - Gymnastics)
- Anne Poleska - Olympic Bronze Medalist - Swimming (I HAD A CLASS WITH HER!)
I didn't even write out all the good Alabama names I found. You can look at the complete list here for Auburn and Alabama.
Thats all well and good and I'm glad we got the serious stuff out of the way. Now, its time for the Women!
There is no good way to determine which school has the best looking girls. They are both fantastic. I'm just using the small sampling of photos I've been able to find online of girls wearing the gear from each school.
Alabama:
Pretty good Quality for Alabama. Now, Auburn:
Advantage: Auburn
Not really that I think the Auburn chicks are cuter, because they really aren't. I love my Crimson Chicks! But, Auburn girls were easier to find on a google image search.
The Cheerleaders:
Funny cheerleader story. At the 2003 Iron Bowl, ESPN interviewed an Alabama male cheerleader who on national television confessed he grew up an Auburn fan and was rooting for Auburn despite being an Alabama cheerleader. The next day, he was off the team. But, there will be no male cheerleaders here. Time for more SEC women:
Auburn:
And Alabama:
Advantage: Alabama
Much like the Auburn co-ed search: The Alabama cheerleaders were MUCH easier to find online quickly. Plus they amazingly gorgeous. Even though those candid shots of the girls rolling around on the grass are great, they are still Auburn and I have to throw up a little bit when I see them.
That's it for today! Happy Thanksgiving, continue hating Auburn! ROLL TIDE!
ONE MORE DAY!!!!!!
Tomorrow's Post: Game Analysis and prediction
Tags:
Barners,
College Football,
Crimson Tide,
Iron Bowl
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